Exchange Rate Outlook: Trading Muted for Holiday Season

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Pound Sterling

The Pound climbed to its strongest level in more than two-years against the US Dollar as the UK currency continues to find support from positive data releases and confidence that the nation’s economy will be the best performer in the Western world after the US over the next few years. Some are predicting that the country’s economy will overtake France to become the world’s fifth largest economy. House prices continue to rise and unemployment continues to fall. The Bank of England has warned that the currency is too high and as such we could see measures being taken in the New Year to try and curb its rise.

GBP/EUR is trading in the region of 1.1945 and GBP/USD is trading in the region of 1.6483

US Dollar

The US Dollar fell against the majority of its peers due to speculation that the currency’s recent gains have been excessive, especially against the Japanese Yen. As a result the Dollar fell against the Euro and fell below the 0.60 range. Against the Yen the ‘Greenback’ retreated from a five-year high.

USD/GBP is trading in the region of 0.6065 and USD/EUR is trading in the region of 0.7248

Euro

The Euro has strengthened against the Pound and US Dollar following the release of data in France which showed that the nation’s Producer Price Index (PPI) came in above forecast. The index came in at 0.5%, above expectations for a reading of -0.2%. The single currency also found support against the Dollar after economists said that they believe the US currency’s recent gains have been overdone.
EUR/GBP is trading in the region of 0.8368 and EUR/USD is trading in the region of 1.3795

Australian Dollar

The ‘Aussie’ is little moved as the market remains stagnant thanks to the Christmas holiday season. No economic data is due to be published so any movement will be as a result of external factors. The currency could make gains next week if data out of China comes in better-than-expected.

AUD/GBP is trading in the region of 0.5412, AUD/EUR is trading in the region of 0.6467 and AUD/USD is trading in the region of 0.8922

New Zealand Dollar

The ‘Kiwi’ hit a three-week low against the US Dollar in subdued holiday trading. The US Dollar advanced against commodity currencies like the kiwi and Aussie after a report on Thursday showed the number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits fell last week to the lowest level in nearly a month.

NZD/GBP is trading in the region of 0.4966, NZD/EUR is trading in the region of 0.5931 and NZD/USD is trading in the region of 0.8184

Canadian Dollar

The Canadian Dollar remains subdued against the US Dollar following yesterday’s positive jobs data out of the USA. It managed to gain some ground after economists said that the US currency’s recent gains has been overdone. The ‘Loonie’ also fell against the Euro.

CAD/GBP is trading in the region of 0.5705, CAD/EUR is trading in the region of 0.6817 and CAD/USD is trading in the region of 0.9406

Richard Martin
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After working in business development for a major UK currency brokers for several years, Richard left Britain to help set up the company’s Australian office and now lives and works in Queensland; making the most of his new Down-Under lifestyle.